Donald Trump’s once rock-solid support among white voters is showing serious cracks, according to the latest YouGov/Economist poll conducted July 25–28, 2025. For the first time in months, Trump’s approval rating among white voters has dropped below the disapproval mark, landing at 47% approval against 49% disapproval — a net approval of -2 points. That’s a notable dip from June’s 50% approval and a clear warning sign for the former president’s political ambitions.
The Numbers Don’t Lie
White voters have historically been a cornerstone of Trump’s base, especially in key battleground states that often decide elections. But the data reveals an eroding foundation:
- 47% approve of Trump’s performance among white voters (down from 50% in June)
- 49% disapprove, pushing net approval into the red at -2 points
- Only 39% of white voters believe the U.S. is “getting better” — a sign of rising pessimism about the country’s direction
- Trump’s approval on handling the economy has slipped to 45%, down from 49% last month
- A majority, 56% of white voters, disapprove of Trump’s handling of the recent Jeffrey Epstein-related findings
- Meanwhile, 39% believe Trump was involved in crimes connected to Epstein, further damaging his image
Why Is This Happening?
Two major forces seem to be driving this shift:
1. Economic Concerns
Inflation remains a thorny issue for many Americans, especially white voters who felt the pinch on everyday essentials. Trump’s slipping approval on economic matters—from 49% to 45%—reflects growing frustration over inflation and the overall economic outlook. When voters are worried about their wallets, political loyalty tends to erode quickly.
2. Epstein Fallout
The recent revelations related to Jeffrey Epstein have brought unwanted scrutiny to Trump’s circle. Public opinion shows that many white voters disapprove of how he’s managed the situation. The fact that nearly 4 in 10 believe he was involved in related crimes hits hard — even the most loyal supporters seem to be questioning their stance.
What Does This Mean for Trump?
White voters have been a reliable backbone for Trump’s campaigns since 2016. A dip in their approval signals potential trouble ahead. With the 2026 midterms looming and a possible 2028 presidential run in the background, shrinking support in this crucial demographic could complicate Trump’s path forward.
This decline also signals a broader national mood: only 39% of white voters feel optimistic about the country’s future. That kind of pessimism can ripple across elections, influencing turnout and swing voter decisions.
The Bigger Picture: Shifting Political Winds
Political support isn’t static, especially in an era dominated by economic uncertainty and high-profile scandals. Trump’s slip among white voters could embolden challengers and shift campaign strategies. Meanwhile, Democrats might see an opening to woo disillusioned voters who once felt locked into the Trump camp.
Conclusion: Trump’s Base Is Showing Signs of Fatigue
While 47% approval is far from a collapse, the downward trend and the negative net rating serve as a wake-up call. Economic dissatisfaction and the Epstein scandal fallout are chipping away at Trump’s once ironclad support among white voters. Whether this erosion is temporary or a sign of a deeper shift remains to be seen — but one thing’s clear: Trump can’t afford to ignore these numbers.
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